Our latest analysis has been written up in the AFR. In short: the probability of a Labor victory has increased again, but is still very small.
NB – We don’t link directly to the AFR website because the articles are behind a paywall. So we save the file as a pdf, put it in Dropbox, and then make use of the public link facility. We know it looks a bit janky. If you have a better solution, let us know!